Election Predictions
Here are my tentative predictions for the November 2, 2004 election.
- Both Propositions 60 and 62 will pass, thereby proving once and for all that half the world’s population is indeed stupider than average.
- Proposition 64 will pass, thereby ending the plaintiff lawyers’ reign of terror.
- Proposition 66 will fail, barely, just like Proposition 15 did in 1982, and for basically the same reason: everyone supported it until they finally figured out what it was actually going to do. [UPDATE: Alternative scenario: it has passed already due to early and absentee voting, but FWIW, will still fail by a slight margin among those who actually cast their votes tomorrow.]
- Proposition 71 will pass, causing us to spend even more money we don’t have. Oh joy.
- By midnight, Pacific time, we’ll know who won at least 47 states.
- It won’t be Mickey Mouse, Michael Badnarik, Ralph Nader or Jack Bauer.
- Bill Jones’s Senate campaign will fare marginally better than Michael Badnarik’s run for President.
- Approximately one week after the election, we will learn that Karl Rove had nothing to do with Osama bin Laden’s endorsement of John Kerry, but did play a substantial role in arranging for Walter Cronkite to claim that he did.
November 1st, 2004 at 11:36 pm
I predict Prop. 66 will pass, though I fervently hope I’m wrong. The ad blitz came too late. Too many people have voted for it already.